Probability of program success navy

Privacy Copyright. Skip to main content. RIT Scholar Works. Author Erick W. L48 Recommended Citation Littleford, Erick W. If points will not be reallocated, skip Step 2 and proceed to Step 3. If points will be reallocated, the user should again use the Criteria tab to adjust the criteria for color coding the metrics OR manually adjust the color coding based on the operations guide.

Step 4: Click on the Metrics tab. A pop-up menu will be revealed at the right side of the cell. When this is highlighted, the menu offers a selection of life cycle phases. When the user selects the proper phase for the program and clicks on a cell, the spreadsheet will auto-populate with the correct factor and metric titles and point values. This needs to be done only the first time the spreadsheet is used unless a program proceeds into another life cycle phase.

Step 5: Now the user is ready to evaluate the program. For the first time evaluation, the metric colors should be initialized to Green or Gray for metrics which are NA. This will initialize the metric colors to Green and the scores to the maximum available.

Scoring of individual metrics can now proceed. The Factors will automatically reflect the sum of the metric scores. Where a KB is entered in a metric cell for Killer Blow, the cell is colored Red and assigned a zero value.

However, the point value A summary of evaluation scoring criteria has been embedded in the Factor and Metric cells and can be revealed by placing the cursor over the cell. However, detailed evaluation criteria contained in this Operations Guide should be referenced for completeness. Step 6: Once the program is scored and the rationale for the score is recorded in the Comments column, the data is ready to be archived. To archive the Metric data, click on the Archive Data button at the top right of the Metrics spreadsheet.

To archive Summary data, perform the same function at the top right of the Summary spreadsheet. Each month the current Summary and Metrics evaluations will be displayed on the A-F columns in the Archives tabs and the previous evaluations will be moved to the right.

Step 7: To automatically create the Windshield Chart, click on the Create Powerpoint Slide button at the top right of the Metrics spreadsheet.

Program details are provided when you drill down on the PoPS score. Figure 3. Manual Upload of Windshield Chart 2. Add a Title Enter a description optional 5. After file selected, hit save Browse for the.

Planning PoPS should be used on efforts which have not received formal approval, funding, or direction yet. Once a formal Program Decision is received or contract is awarded, the program should be evaluated based on the criteria associated with the life cycle phase appropriate for the approved program; e. While planning a new effort, it is important the program team properly plan for all aspects of the program leaving little to chance. Aspects of the program plan that may lead to execution risk should be highlighted as much as possible in order for the decision makers to understand any risk that may exist in the proposed plan.

Program Planning Windshield Chart Example 3. Additionally, PMs can add parameters not currently listed. The criteria below should be consistent with the ACAT level of the program being evaluated. All major U. This is not applicable for planning programs that will transition to Pre-MS B. Changes to requirements are negligible from month to month — any changes are leading to less risk in execution. Two or more requirements changes have occurred over the last three months leading to increased risk of achieving a stable low risk baseline.

The objective of this metric is to show overall program scope growth, from pre-program initiation, where program scope was first determined, to the present. If during the life of the program the program scope changed, the program should use the most recent independent cost estimate for the original value.

If there has been significant change in the program from program initiation to present, program office can use the latest independent assessment for cost and schedule predictions. This metric also reflects sufficiency for each program appropriation. Sufficiency is defined as the degree to which the amount and phasing of each appropriation within a program retires programmatic risk. High sufficiency equates to low budgetary risk, and vice versa.

The PM will assess sufficiency and assign appropriate color rating that will be used during the budget metric criteria evaluation. An independent estimate of cost was accomplished by an organization outside the Program Office Reporting Chain.

An independent estimate of cost has been accomplished using essential data provided by the program office. In the planning program phase, this metric is intended to show the risk in Government Program Office Manning in support of program planning as well as after receipt of formal program approval.

Civilian, military, matrix and contracted support personnel statuses are addressed. All billets belonging to the Program Office should be accounted for across the categories.

Program Offices should report the manning that specifically supports the Program Office specifically. Manning should represent the personnel who support the function of the Program Office and not the execution. Personnel can be co-located or off site to the program office. Manning must be sufficient to support the functional areas that are critical to a program e. It is not intended to capture work hours associated with the use of an organization that is supporting the Program Office i.

Manning and Qualification This metric is intended to show Program Office staffing status as of the reporting date. Civilian, military, matrix, and contracted support personnel statuses are addressed. A secondary consideration is the adequacy of manpower authorizations and availability of qualified personnel to staff the program upon receipt of a favorable program decision.

NOTE: If 2 or more key personnel changes have occurred within the last 6 months then this metric rating is reduced to red see below. Part of this involves good dialogue between industry and the government to ensure a good RFP results. It would be expected that the government would be generating interest throughout industry and also getting feedback as appropriate. Where there is little industry interest or problems identified by industry early, the program office should be able to use this information to enhance the probability of a successful risk-based source selection.

This metric assumes planning activity leading up to contract award; e. Post-contract award, the POPS criteria and Windshield Chart appropriate for the program life cycle phase should be used. Although POPS are meant to be objective, at this point, there is some subjectivity involved with these metrics.

The acquisition has fully identified a life cycle approach to acquiring this warfighter capability. Requirements have been fully examined for achievability within cost and schedule constraints as appropriate. Contracting Strategy. All contracting issues have been examined. Contracting activities have been planned with the life cycle in mind. Flexibility is a quality that is desired. Expedited deliveries, facilities, subcontract issues, COTS integration, foreign participation are all addressed.

Are any special contract provisions anticipated? There should be no surprises in the contracting process! This plan involves all aspects from the requirements flow down to achieving the sustainment plan. About complete their training and join approximately 2, more active SEALs, who work among nine active duty teams. Some SEAL candidates choose to drop out of the program, and some are forced out. Candidates who fail to complete training are reclassified to other jobs in the Navy.

To graduate from SEAL training, you must meet physical fitness standards that are more challenging than those required for entry into the program. For example, you must swim 1, yards in 20 minutes or less and run four miles in 31 minutes or less. There are also standards for pushups, pullups and curl-ups. You also must complete skills training, which includes combat diving and land warfare training.

SEAL candidates must demonstrate mastery in weapons use, land navigation, demolitions, cold weather warfare and maritime operations. Based in Central Florida, Ron White has worked as professional journalist since